Alright I usually subscribe to the get two running backs theory. Especially with the swing picks at the front end of the 2nd round. The reason for this is simple 3 WRs take the field ever down only one running back does. So weaker WRs are more productive than backup RBs. In addition there is minumum difference between the 20th best receiver to the 30th best receiver so don't jump the gun in grabbing a guy when the value at the pick isn't worth it.
1. Steve Smith - Mid 2nd - He was the best WR last season and when healthy is the most explosive WR in the league and with the addition of Keyshawn there is a possibility that more space is opened for him. However, I would not jump on him in the 1st round or early second due to the big question marks with the Carolina Running Game and his injury possiblities.
2. Terrell Owens - Mid 2nd - Don't worry about TO's little hamstring injury, simply put its best for him and Bill Parcells to give TO as much breathing room as possible to work this preseason, and lets face it the man does not need to get in shape. At the end of the 2005 season he was tied for 21st in the league in TDs and 26th for fantasy WRs in points scored, and he played in 7 games.
3. Chad Johnson - Mid to Late 2nd - Chad puts up huge yardage numbers and big TDs numbers every year and has become a consistant fantasy points source, only issue is whether or not Carson's knee is fully healthy cause they have no servicable back up now that Kitna has moved on.
4. Marvin Harrison - Late 2nd - The man puts up 10+ tds every single year. He's still Peyton's number 1 option and with the loss of Edgerrin James Peyton is going to be lettign the cannon loose even more this season. I expect Harrison 2006 to be better than his 2005.
5. Torry Holt - Late 2nd - Who names their son Torry? Come on, whats up with NFL receivers having completely feminine names like Torry and Ashley, piss poor. However, Holt is a top 5 receiver in the NFL and with a healthy Bulger will be expected to put up large numbers. Only question mark will be what the effect of the departure of Martz will be. Will the coach rely more on the run than the Rams have in the past? Will the Rams score as many points as they have been with the Fun n' Gun?
6. Randy Moss - Late 2nd - If Randy Moss puts up bad numbers this year than he will plummet next year in my opinion and I won't draft him. However, I am drooling over the possibilities of picking him up in the 3rd round. Can the best receiver of this past decade possibly have two bad seasons in a row? I highly doubt it. Moss who has been a perennial 1st round pick in past years may have an injury threat but in the late 2nd round the Risk to Reward factor is so great that I think it's moronic not to jump on him. And everyone wants a Moss Mask.
7. Larry Fitzgerald - Early 3rd - I love Fitz's talents. I loved him at Pitt I even wasn't surprised when he had a huge year last year with the lowly Cardinals, but I expect his numbers to drop a little bit now that the Cardinals have a viable running game with Edgerrin. Edge will take away some TDs now that they will run in the Red Zone and in addition a strong rushing attack runs the clock faster quickening the game and limiting the amounts of passing attempts.
8. Anquan Boldin - Mid 3rd - Basically the same that goes for Fitz goes for Boldin, except for the fact that Fitz is more consistant and more reliable than Boldin.
9. Chris Chambers - Mid to Late 3rd - He had a tremendous spurt in 2005 which almost lead me into the playoffs now if Culpepper is healthy which is a big if, Chambers could be the breakout star of the 2006 season.
10. Reggie Wayne - Early 4th - Like I stated with Marvin, I expect the Colts to be forced to throw more this season and I expect Wayne to be a huge benefactor. His numbers were down from 2004 last season, but expect his numbers to find a balance between 04 and 05 somewhere in the 1100s with 8 to 10 tds.
11. Santana Moss - Early 4th - Santana had a great 2006, but to put it bluntly from a Jets fans prospective he is incredibly injury prone and I would not be surprised in the slightest if he goes down to a debillitating injury. In addition his QB is Mark Brunnell and everyone knows that he is an old man well well past his prime.
12. Plaxico Burress -Early to Mid 4th - Plaxico was a little inconsistent last year he had games where he was off the map and games where he didn't show up. This year with the edition of Sinorice Moss, a speed receiver, and another year of experience under Eli's belt I expect Plaxico's numbers to be better across the board and more consistent week to week.
13. Hines Ward - Mid 4th - Hines had a very good season last year with 11 tds, and had superb postseason, but the absence of a solid second wide receiver and the questionmarks at running back and whether Parker can handle the load makes me want to shy away from him. Then again I wasn't happy when I drafted him last year, but I was happy I had him at the end of the season.
14. Javon Walker - Early 5th - It's tough to predict how he will come back from the season ending injury, but he will certainly mold into Denver's #1 receiving option which is a promising place to be. However, buyer beware cause until you see him perform for a few weeks you really don't know what you're getting.
15. Roy Williams - Early 5th - Look at me I'm a non bust receiver on the Lions, please do not compare me to the obese Mike Williams and fractured clavical that is Charles Rogers. I've produced for two straight years and now that I don't have to worry about trying to make Joey Harrington look good I'm gonna go through the roof.
16. Andre Johnson - Early 5th - Alright, he was super two seasons ago and poor last year. Once again the Texans offensive line let Carr get bludgeoned to death. Eventually thats going to change right? Maybe? Well if it does improve even the slightest Johnson has the potential to put up monster numbers.
17. Donald Driver - Mid to Late 5th - Once again Brett Favre has limited options at WR and for that matter Running Bcak, so he must have been smoking the peyote. So Donald Driver will get a solid amount of balls and will end up being the target of a Favre td pass or two.
18. Joey Galloway - Late 5th Early 6th- Ya I'm not a big Galloway fan, he had a superb season last year, but I think his numbers are going to fall a bit while Michael Clayton's will rebound closer to his rookie season. However, Galloway is still the safer and most likely more effective fantasy receiver for the Bucs. However, unless he falls dramatically which I doubt, I'm not gonna pick him.
19. T.J. Houshmandzadeh - Early 6th - The Houshman is going to be a product of Carson Palmer, if Palmer's in there expect Housh to top 1000 yards for the first time in his career. If Anthony Wright is in there ya, expect to have Housh on your bench for that week.
20. Muhsin Muhammad - Late 6th - Muhammad went from fantasy giant in 2004 to a mediocre thrid option in 2005, but the majority of this reason was due to the fact that Kyle Orton had no business QBing an NFL team last season. This year the more gunslinging Rex Grossman will help up Muhsin's production and when he inevitably gets injured the bears intelligently went out and signed Brian Griese who when he plays will not cause Muhsin's value to plummet.
21. Darrell Jackson - Mid 7th - A healthy Darrell Jackson is easily worth a look prior to last seasons injury riddled campaign, Jackson had back to 1100+ yard seasons with 16 total tds during those two seasons. If he can replicate those seasons, than he is a very good option.
22. Derrick Mason - Mid to Late 7th - Yippee I have a Steve McNair back, I might be able to catch more than 3 tds again this season.
23. Rod Smith - Late 7th - Has been a reliable target for the Broncos for a long long time, personally I think his numbers are bound to go down this season, limiting him only to 3rd receiver on your fantasy roster.
24. Reggie Brown - Early 8th - Donovan Mcnabb is a solid QB and started to develop a connection with the former Georgia standout. I really think that Brown is going to have a 1000 yard season with moderate touchdowns making him a perfect player for your 3rd receiver slot.
25. Keyshawn Johnson - Early 8th - The big man will make a difference in Carolina, the critics number 1 pick to win the superbowl. Key will get balls when the opposition decides that Steve Smith still deserves a double team.
26. Donte Stallworth - Mid 8th - Stallworth had a pretty good season last week completely under the radar. The additions of Brees and Bush and aa healthy Duece will only spread out the field more and give Stallworth more likelihood of having a 1000+ yard season.
27. Joe Horn - Mid 8th - Similar to Stallworth, I think Brees will help Horn bounce back from a very subpar season.
28. Michael Clayton - Early 9th - After a fantastic rookie season Clayton collapsed last year. I really expect him to bounce back and gain some consistancy with a full season working with Chris Simms. Like I stated before I expect him to negatively effect Joey Galloway's numbers this year.
29. Matt Jones - Early 9th - The list needs a token white guy, and it was between Jones and Drew Bennett but Jones has longer more flowing blond locks so he takes it home.
30. Laveranues Coles - Early 9th - What did you think I wasn't going to have atleast one Jet, well you were wrong. Maybe he can rekindled his past flame with Chadwick, if Chadwick has any muscle fibers left in his rotator cuff.
A Few possible bench sleepers:
Chad Jackson - Patriots rookie receiver had great combine numbers and with Branch holdout.
Reche Calwell - If Jackson doesn't step up and fill out the #2 receiver slot it could easily be Calwell.
Roddy White - Vick needs to throw the ball to someone on that team, Roddy could be that man.
Cedric Wilson - With the departure of Randle El, Wilson will most likely beat Santonio Holmes for the #2 spot in the Steelers lineup. If so he could be a viable commodity, if Santonio wins the job then grab him.
Braylon Edwards - Track how long they expect him to be out for the beginning of the season, when he comes back and is healthy he will have an impact on the Browns as he was just about to breakout last season. Edwards could be a starting receiver for a playoff fantasy team.
1. Steve Smith - Mid 2nd - He was the best WR last season and when healthy is the most explosive WR in the league and with the addition of Keyshawn there is a possibility that more space is opened for him. However, I would not jump on him in the 1st round or early second due to the big question marks with the Carolina Running Game and his injury possiblities.2. Terrell Owens - Mid 2nd - Don't worry about TO's little hamstring injury, simply put its best for him and Bill Parcells to give TO as much breathing room as possible to work this preseason, and lets face it the man does not need to get in shape. At the end of the 2005 season he was tied for 21st in the league in TDs and 26th for fantasy WRs in points scored, and he played in 7 games.
3. Chad Johnson - Mid to Late 2nd - Chad puts up huge yardage numbers and big TDs numbers every year and has become a consistant fantasy points source, only issue is whether or not Carson's knee is fully healthy cause they have no servicable back up now that Kitna has moved on.
4. Marvin Harrison - Late 2nd - The man puts up 10+ tds every single year. He's still Peyton's number 1 option and with the loss of Edgerrin James Peyton is going to be lettign the cannon loose even more this season. I expect Harrison 2006 to be better than his 2005.
5. Torry Holt - Late 2nd - Who names their son Torry? Come on, whats up with NFL receivers having completely feminine names like Torry and Ashley, piss poor. However, Holt is a top 5 receiver in the NFL and with a healthy Bulger will be expected to put up large numbers. Only question mark will be what the effect of the departure of Martz will be. Will the coach rely more on the run than the Rams have in the past? Will the Rams score as many points as they have been with the Fun n' Gun?
6. Randy Moss - Late 2nd - If Randy Moss puts up bad numbers this year than he will plummet next year in my opinion and I won't draft him. However, I am drooling over the possibilities of picking him up in the 3rd round. Can the best receiver of this past decade possibly have two bad seasons in a row? I highly doubt it. Moss who has been a perennial 1st round pick in past years may have an injury threat but in the late 2nd round the Risk to Reward factor is so great that I think it's moronic not to jump on him. And everyone wants a Moss Mask.7. Larry Fitzgerald - Early 3rd - I love Fitz's talents. I loved him at Pitt I even wasn't surprised when he had a huge year last year with the lowly Cardinals, but I expect his numbers to drop a little bit now that the Cardinals have a viable running game with Edgerrin. Edge will take away some TDs now that they will run in the Red Zone and in addition a strong rushing attack runs the clock faster quickening the game and limiting the amounts of passing attempts.
8. Anquan Boldin - Mid 3rd - Basically the same that goes for Fitz goes for Boldin, except for the fact that Fitz is more consistant and more reliable than Boldin.
9. Chris Chambers - Mid to Late 3rd - He had a tremendous spurt in 2005 which almost lead me into the playoffs now if Culpepper is healthy which is a big if, Chambers could be the breakout star of the 2006 season.
10. Reggie Wayne - Early 4th - Like I stated with Marvin, I expect the Colts to be forced to throw more this season and I expect Wayne to be a huge benefactor. His numbers were down from 2004 last season, but expect his numbers to find a balance between 04 and 05 somewhere in the 1100s with 8 to 10 tds.
11. Santana Moss - Early 4th - Santana had a great 2006, but to put it bluntly from a Jets fans prospective he is incredibly injury prone and I would not be surprised in the slightest if he goes down to a debillitating injury. In addition his QB is Mark Brunnell and everyone knows that he is an old man well well past his prime.
12. Plaxico Burress -Early to Mid 4th - Plaxico was a little inconsistent last year he had games where he was off the map and games where he didn't show up. This year with the edition of Sinorice Moss, a speed receiver, and another year of experience under Eli's belt I expect Plaxico's numbers to be better across the board and more consistent week to week.13. Hines Ward - Mid 4th - Hines had a very good season last year with 11 tds, and had superb postseason, but the absence of a solid second wide receiver and the questionmarks at running back and whether Parker can handle the load makes me want to shy away from him. Then again I wasn't happy when I drafted him last year, but I was happy I had him at the end of the season.
14. Javon Walker - Early 5th - It's tough to predict how he will come back from the season ending injury, but he will certainly mold into Denver's #1 receiving option which is a promising place to be. However, buyer beware cause until you see him perform for a few weeks you really don't know what you're getting.
15. Roy Williams - Early 5th - Look at me I'm a non bust receiver on the Lions, please do not compare me to the obese Mike Williams and fractured clavical that is Charles Rogers. I've produced for two straight years and now that I don't have to worry about trying to make Joey Harrington look good I'm gonna go through the roof.
16. Andre Johnson - Early 5th - Alright, he was super two seasons ago and poor last year. Once again the Texans offensive line let Carr get bludgeoned to death. Eventually thats going to change right? Maybe? Well if it does improve even the slightest Johnson has the potential to put up monster numbers.
17. Donald Driver - Mid to Late 5th - Once again Brett Favre has limited options at WR and for that matter Running Bcak, so he must have been smoking the peyote. So Donald Driver will get a solid amount of balls and will end up being the target of a Favre td pass or two.
18. Joey Galloway - Late 5th Early 6th- Ya I'm not a big Galloway fan, he had a superb season last year, but I think his numbers are going to fall a bit while Michael Clayton's will rebound closer to his rookie season. However, Galloway is still the safer and most likely more effective fantasy receiver for the Bucs. However, unless he falls dramatically which I doubt, I'm not gonna pick him.
19. T.J. Houshmandzadeh - Early 6th - The Houshman is going to be a product of Carson Palmer, if Palmer's in there expect Housh to top 1000 yards for the first time in his career. If Anthony Wright is in there ya, expect to have Housh on your bench for that week.
20. Muhsin Muhammad - Late 6th - Muhammad went from fantasy giant in 2004 to a mediocre thrid option in 2005, but the majority of this reason was due to the fact that Kyle Orton had no business QBing an NFL team last season. This year the more gunslinging Rex Grossman will help up Muhsin's production and when he inevitably gets injured the bears intelligently went out and signed Brian Griese who when he plays will not cause Muhsin's value to plummet.21. Darrell Jackson - Mid 7th - A healthy Darrell Jackson is easily worth a look prior to last seasons injury riddled campaign, Jackson had back to 1100+ yard seasons with 16 total tds during those two seasons. If he can replicate those seasons, than he is a very good option.
22. Derrick Mason - Mid to Late 7th - Yippee I have a Steve McNair back, I might be able to catch more than 3 tds again this season.
23. Rod Smith - Late 7th - Has been a reliable target for the Broncos for a long long time, personally I think his numbers are bound to go down this season, limiting him only to 3rd receiver on your fantasy roster.
24. Reggie Brown - Early 8th - Donovan Mcnabb is a solid QB and started to develop a connection with the former Georgia standout. I really think that Brown is going to have a 1000 yard season with moderate touchdowns making him a perfect player for your 3rd receiver slot.
25. Keyshawn Johnson - Early 8th - The big man will make a difference in Carolina, the critics number 1 pick to win the superbowl. Key will get balls when the opposition decides that Steve Smith still deserves a double team.
26. Donte Stallworth - Mid 8th - Stallworth had a pretty good season last week completely under the radar. The additions of Brees and Bush and aa healthy Duece will only spread out the field more and give Stallworth more likelihood of having a 1000+ yard season.27. Joe Horn - Mid 8th - Similar to Stallworth, I think Brees will help Horn bounce back from a very subpar season.
28. Michael Clayton - Early 9th - After a fantastic rookie season Clayton collapsed last year. I really expect him to bounce back and gain some consistancy with a full season working with Chris Simms. Like I stated before I expect him to negatively effect Joey Galloway's numbers this year.
29. Matt Jones - Early 9th - The list needs a token white guy, and it was between Jones and Drew Bennett but Jones has longer more flowing blond locks so he takes it home.
30. Laveranues Coles - Early 9th - What did you think I wasn't going to have atleast one Jet, well you were wrong. Maybe he can rekindled his past flame with Chadwick, if Chadwick has any muscle fibers left in his rotator cuff.
A Few possible bench sleepers:
Chad Jackson - Patriots rookie receiver had great combine numbers and with Branch holdout.Reche Calwell - If Jackson doesn't step up and fill out the #2 receiver slot it could easily be Calwell.
Roddy White - Vick needs to throw the ball to someone on that team, Roddy could be that man.
Cedric Wilson - With the departure of Randle El, Wilson will most likely beat Santonio Holmes for the #2 spot in the Steelers lineup. If so he could be a viable commodity, if Santonio wins the job then grab him.
Braylon Edwards - Track how long they expect him to be out for the beginning of the season, when he comes back and is healthy he will have an impact on the Browns as he was just about to breakout last season. Edwards could be a starting receiver for a playoff fantasy team.
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