Congrats to the Buckeyes for clinching their spot in Glendale on January 8th, now with 2 weeks remaining only a handful of teams have any shot of playing the Buckeyes.
Last week Rutgers, Wake Forest, and West Virginia had very remote shots but with the close loss by Michigan and the losses of Rutgers and Wake Forest all have been eliminated from contention.
1. Southern California Trojans - The Trojans continue to control their destiny, their victory over Cal was highly impressive and barring some very weird situation the Trojans should jump the Wolverines with two more wins. Southern Cal will be and should be rewarded for playing ND, Arkansas and Nebraska as out of conference games.
Scenario #1: Win Remainder of Games without any controversy.
Scenario #2: Win Remainder of Games Period combined with Florida not defeating Arkansas and Florida St. by about 40+ in each game.
2. Michigan Wolverines - Very disheartening loss for any Michigan fan but there is still light at the end of the tunnel. With a few things falling into place the Wolverines could find themselves in Glendale anyway especially with their strong computer ranking. Notre Dame defeating the Trojans vastly improves Michigan chances to head to Glendale, so Brady Quinn jersey in Ann Arbor are at an all time high demand.
Scenario #1: USC loses to Notre Dame, Florida or Arkansas do not dominate their remaining games.
Scenario #2: USC loses to UCLA, Arkansas loses to LSU or Florida loses to Florida St. diminishing the SEC Title Game.
Scenario #3: USC loses to UCLA both Arkansas and Florida lose
3. Florida Gators - Florida would really have had a much better shot at the title game had they played a decent opponent outside of the conference. Sure they got unlucky with how bad FSU is this season, but scheduling Western Carolina any season is unacceptable and that is why they are behind the Trojans in every part of the BCS. Schedule Western Carolina in September and people will slightly overlook it, schedule them on the same week as Michigan vs. OSU and Cal vs. USC and people are going to ridicule you, simple as that. With that being said the Gators do not control their own destiny, and need to play really well down the stretch to get to Glendale. If Arkansas loses to LSU then that will highly diminish their matchup for the SEC Title and put them in a tough bind. In addition if ND beats USC it will put Michigan's computer ranking a flatlined 2 and will require Florida to have a significant edge in both polls. Difficult tasks for the Gators.
Scenario #1: Win Remaining Games in Dominating Fashion including a 1 loss Arkansas combined with a loss by USC preferably to UCLA.
Scenario #2: Win Remaining Games including a 1 loss Arkansas combined with a Southern Cal domination over ND than loss against UCLA.
Scenario #3: Win Remaining Games in Dominating Fashion including Southern Cal domination over ND than a loss to UCLA.
4. Arkansas Razorbacks - The Razorbacks need to win convincingly to have any chance to head to Glendale. They'll find it difficult to move ahead of Michigan in the computer rankings no matter how the final games fall and thus need to jump them in the Harris and Coaches poll. In addition they desperately need Florida to beat Florida St. the more convincing the better. A USC victory over ND and then loss to UCLA would bew the best case scenario as it would decrease Michigan's computer ranking as well as give USC the much needed loss.
Scenario #1: Dominating Wins over LSU and Florida Combined with USC loss preferably to UCLA.
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - The Irish's only shot is to beat the Trojans convincingly and then convince voters around the country to place them ahead of the Wolverines and any of the SEC teams with 1 losss. Obviously if the SEC teams lose that increases their shot but still their big hurdle is jumping Michigan. And their win over SOuthern Cal would only solidify Michigan's computer ranking.
Scenario #1: Losses by Florida, Arkansas combined with a blowout victory over USC.
Scenario #2: Beat the Trojans by about 50 and much politicing that ND is better than either SEC team and much improved since the Michigan game.
Other Weeks Scenarios: 11/15, 11/27
Last week Rutgers, Wake Forest, and West Virginia had very remote shots but with the close loss by Michigan and the losses of Rutgers and Wake Forest all have been eliminated from contention.
1. Southern California Trojans - The Trojans continue to control their destiny, their victory over Cal was highly impressive and barring some very weird situation the Trojans should jump the Wolverines with two more wins. Southern Cal will be and should be rewarded for playing ND, Arkansas and Nebraska as out of conference games.
Scenario #1: Win Remainder of Games without any controversy.
Scenario #2: Win Remainder of Games Period combined with Florida not defeating Arkansas and Florida St. by about 40+ in each game.
2. Michigan Wolverines - Very disheartening loss for any Michigan fan but there is still light at the end of the tunnel. With a few things falling into place the Wolverines could find themselves in Glendale anyway especially with their strong computer ranking. Notre Dame defeating the Trojans vastly improves Michigan chances to head to Glendale, so Brady Quinn jersey in Ann Arbor are at an all time high demand.
Scenario #1: USC loses to Notre Dame, Florida or Arkansas do not dominate their remaining games.
Scenario #2: USC loses to UCLA, Arkansas loses to LSU or Florida loses to Florida St. diminishing the SEC Title Game.
Scenario #3: USC loses to UCLA both Arkansas and Florida lose
3. Florida Gators - Florida would really have had a much better shot at the title game had they played a decent opponent outside of the conference. Sure they got unlucky with how bad FSU is this season, but scheduling Western Carolina any season is unacceptable and that is why they are behind the Trojans in every part of the BCS. Schedule Western Carolina in September and people will slightly overlook it, schedule them on the same week as Michigan vs. OSU and Cal vs. USC and people are going to ridicule you, simple as that. With that being said the Gators do not control their own destiny, and need to play really well down the stretch to get to Glendale. If Arkansas loses to LSU then that will highly diminish their matchup for the SEC Title and put them in a tough bind. In addition if ND beats USC it will put Michigan's computer ranking a flatlined 2 and will require Florida to have a significant edge in both polls. Difficult tasks for the Gators.
Scenario #1: Win Remaining Games in Dominating Fashion including a 1 loss Arkansas combined with a loss by USC preferably to UCLA.
Scenario #2: Win Remaining Games including a 1 loss Arkansas combined with a Southern Cal domination over ND than loss against UCLA.
Scenario #3: Win Remaining Games in Dominating Fashion including Southern Cal domination over ND than a loss to UCLA.
4. Arkansas Razorbacks - The Razorbacks need to win convincingly to have any chance to head to Glendale. They'll find it difficult to move ahead of Michigan in the computer rankings no matter how the final games fall and thus need to jump them in the Harris and Coaches poll. In addition they desperately need Florida to beat Florida St. the more convincing the better. A USC victory over ND and then loss to UCLA would bew the best case scenario as it would decrease Michigan's computer ranking as well as give USC the much needed loss.
Scenario #1: Dominating Wins over LSU and Florida Combined with USC loss preferably to UCLA.
5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - The Irish's only shot is to beat the Trojans convincingly and then convince voters around the country to place them ahead of the Wolverines and any of the SEC teams with 1 losss. Obviously if the SEC teams lose that increases their shot but still their big hurdle is jumping Michigan. And their win over SOuthern Cal would only solidify Michigan's computer ranking.
Scenario #1: Losses by Florida, Arkansas combined with a blowout victory over USC.
Scenario #2: Beat the Trojans by about 50 and much politicing that ND is better than either SEC team and much improved since the Michigan game.
Other Weeks Scenarios: 11/15, 11/27
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