If they win this week than their worst record would 13-3. The best any other AFC team could finish is San Diego at 13-3.
Tie-Breaker 1 H2H: They did not play each other this season.
Tie-Breaker 2 AFC Record: Both teams would have an AFC Conference Record of 9-3.
Tie-Breaker 3 Common Games: The Common Opponents between the Chargers and Colts would be the Titans, Broncos, Ravens and Dolphins. The Colts would have won all 5 games against those opponents while the Chargers would have a record of 3-2 in those games.
Advantage Colts. A win over Denver this weekend and Peyton can rest for three weeks.
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