Monday, July 14, 2008
So to do a quick sum up of my predictions from the Spring, which of course are unsurprisingly pitiful essentially in the AL I have two teams pace close to accurate. The Red Sox and the Royals are both on a pace to win about 1 more game than I predicted. In the NL I was close on the Brewers, Phillies and Astros who I are on pace to win basically the amount that I specified. Other than those 4 teams it's a shit show.
The absolute biggest disaster is of course Seattle who at their pace might be able to play 2 full seasons before they reach 92 wins. The White Sox, Rays, Twins and As I all expected to be under .500 and currently they hold the 3rd-6th best records in the AL. Detroit's first month doomed them from what I thought would end up being the best record in the league. And finally Cleveland is surprisingly miserable while Baltimore is surprisingly not completely miserable.
In the NL the Cardinals have shocked with the 2nd best record in the league while the Padres and Rockies have both been ridiculously bad. Meanwhile I was actually close to predicting the Reds and Nats coming with in 6 games of their current pace.
All in all I did a much much better job in the NL, and by much better I mean not the complete disaster that was my AL predictions. If you can follow the below table the first column is what I predicted the teams record to rank in their league, the 2nd is what they currently rank, the third is how many wins I predicted, the 4th is their current pace to finish at, and finally the last is the difference between the predicted and the pace.
|P||C||Team||Wins (Pred)||Wins (Pace)||Difference|
|8||4||Chi. White Sox||80||93.06382979||-13.06382979|
|Team||Wins (P)||Wins (Pace)||Difference|