Thursday, March 11, 2010
How am I doing my rankings? First I take the CHONE projections for each player, next I calculate what percentage of my needed stats they will garner me in my keeper league (3rd place for each category). Finally I see just how much added bonus they give me in comparison to the average player at the position.
I Love The Kinsler
Kinsler has everything you want in a draft pick. He has power, speed, potential to hit above .300 (see 2008), is in his prime and hits in a great lineup. He went 30/30 last year and his draft stock has gone down thanks to a dip in average. Kinsler will rise up the ranks again this season.
Second base used to be a position that was absolutely positively dreadful. In 2010 the position supplies surprising depth and some potential for more. If the breakout seasons from Cano, Zobrist and Aaron Hill continue this position is at least 10 strong. Then it could be even stronger if you think that Rickie Weeks or Howie Kendrick can finally emerge and have their big breakout season. After them the position does fall off considerably so if you're in a two Second Baseman league it might be wise to pounce early.
Don't Look Past Little E
If you're in a 5*5 league its key to never look past steals. Eric Young is going to hurt you in the RBI category but you can accept this if he gets you 40 steals. 40 steals from your second baseman will allow you to focus your attention elsewhere when drafting positions that could provide power or speed ie the outfield. In addition Little E is likely to go after a ton of 2B are already off the board. Of course this all assumes he makes the roster, which may not happen.
What To Do With Zobrist and Hill?
Both Zobrist and Hill made dramatic leaps in production in 2009. For Zobrist it was the first time he actually got a ton of playing time and he hit 27 HRs and nearly recorded 20 steals. For Hill he came off an injury riddled 2008 season and hit 36 Home Runs. I think it might be much to expect either to replicate what they did last year so personally I'd hold off expecting a mild drop in production and let someone else pay high.
Check Out the Rankings After the Jump
I'm not really saying Eric Young is the best 2B to draft in fantasy, what this is telling me is that in my particular league steals come harder to find than HRs so if I drafted E and another speedster I'd basically be set to focus the rest of my picks on pure power. This of course assumes CHONE's projections are correct. Of the projections on fangraphs CHONE is the only one who thinks he will get ample PT.