Wednesday, January 07, 2009
The Degrees of Loss Separation is a simple concept, I go out and find a highly rated team with some losses playing against a crappy team with lots of losses. Next I find a chain of losses which proves beyond a shadow of a doubt (not at all) that the underdog is going to pull the major upset and storm the field. The Final Outcome is calculated simply: Add up the scores of the losers, add up the scores of the winners in the degrees of loss separation and divide both by the # of degrees.
The Game: Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Sooners
It's National Championship time so what better way to figure out who's better than via the Degrees of Loss Separation (almost any thoughtful analysis really). The defending Heisman Trophy winner versus the current Heisman Trophy winner. The high flying passing offense versus the spread offense. The young NFL Coaching target versus the young NFL Coaching Target. The Big 12 versus the SEC.
It should be an exciting game pitting two terrific offenses with two terrific college quarterbacks but the Gators are the definitive favorites and thus the degrees searched for a reason to pick the Sooners and one was quickly found.
5º of Loss Separation : Oklahoma > Nebraska > Clemson > South Carolina > Ole Miss > Florida
It all starts with the shocking upset of Florida by Ole Miss. The Gators missed an extra point and couldn't covert on 4th down and that was that. Those same Rebels followed up the victory by celebrating with a 7 point loss to South Carolina. The Cocks in their rivalry game to Clemson who dumped their big lead against Nebraska in the Gator bowl. The same Cornhuskers got pummeled by the Bradford bus earlier in the season.
Final Outcome: Oklahoma 36 Florida 24
See you heard it here first at the Degrees, the Sooners are going to win this game 36-24 because they beat a team that beat a team that beat a team that beat a team that beat Florida. What more kind of proof do you desire?