Thursday, February 25, 2010
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The MLB season is just around the corner and its time to take a look at how Vegas sees the Divisions playing out and how much they'd be willing to pay you if you are a reader of the future.
Of all 30 teams the Phillies and the Yanks are the only two whom Vegas sees as a better than 50/50 proposition. Both seem like a terrible bet. The Rays and Red Sox should both be very good and challenge the Yanks. The Phillies odds are not even close to worth the price of admission. I'd also avoid the really huge longshots like the Jays, Nats, Pirates and especially the Padres. The Padres are going to be BRUTAL.
Now to the three teams I'd most contemplate taking the risk reward. 1) The Mets. Please do a cursory comparison between the New York Mets roster and the Philadelphia Phillies roster, the Phillies roster isn't leaps and bounds better it just has way less question marks. The Mets are +600 which gives a nice payout if their question marks (health and pitching depth) can be answered and the Phillies suffer an injury or two. 2) The Tigers. The Tigers should have won the division last year and their roster isn't remarkably worse this year but you are getting +500 odds. 3) The Giants. I don't like this nearly as much as the other two, mostly because I think the risk is equal to the other two but the payout is less. But... they do have the best pitcher in baseball and Matt Cain isn't too far behind. Perhaps Aubrey Huff will have a resurgence and DeRosa will add much needed life to their terrible offense. They certainly need it.
Image Courtesy of Vegas Watch