Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Zack Greinke through 6 games is pitching at an unbelievable level. He's leading major league baseball in every major pitching metric and why wouldn't he, he's given up just two runs through 6 starts. He's won all 6 games and struck out nearly 9 batters per outing. He's certainly getting a head start on the 2009 Cy Young Award, but let's see just how much of a head start. To do that let's take the past 5 American League Cy Young winners and average out their key stats over the course of a full season. This average will be used as the barometer for a "Cy Young" winner. Next we will calculate just how much and how well Greinke will need to pitch over his remaining 27 starts to accomplish the Cy Young averages.
For the remainder of the season as calculated above Greinke will still have to be a slightly better pitcher than he was last season when he won just 13 games with a 3.47 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. But with the way he's pitched over the first month of the season does it seem like there's any possible way he won't accomplish these stats? If anything, you'd probably predict superior numbers for a 25 year old who is entering his prime and obviously has improved considerably.
Perhaps Zack should start clearing out a little shelf space for that big trophy he's going to take home come November.