Regressions: 2008 Ks -> Wins

Friday, February 06, 2009

It's February, so I'm Trying to Find things to Post On. Therefore You're Going to Get Some Simple Regression Tests from the 2008 MLB Season.

The Major High Outlier: San Francisco with 1240 Ks and 72 Wins
The Low Outlier: St. Louis with 957 Ks and 86 Wins

Formula: Ks = 826 + (3.33) * Wins
ReFangled Formula: Wins = (Ks - 826) / (3.33)

Fun Math Time

If there's one thing you can deem from the chart, it's that having a pitching staff that strikes out people doesn't necessarily translate to wins. Regardless taking the formula above if I want the Yanks to win 100 games than this regression says the Yanks should strike out 1160. And say the Cards decide they are only going to K 957 people again this year then the formula says they can expect to win 40 games.

Posted by Simon at 2:22 PM   Digg! submit to reddit BallHype: hype it up!


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