Skip to main content

Fun With Regressions: The NFL Is A Quarterback's League

Want a simplistic view to show you how the NFL is a pass first league now? Here are the regressions for Rush Rank and Passing Rank to Games Above .500. What you'll notice is the slopes to the two trendlines are vastly different in degree.


The NFL isn't quite to the point where rushing the football is going to be universal hindrance to your team but its obvious that just because you have a top rushing attack you aren't guaranteed victories especially if its paired with a miserable passing attack. You'll notice that 5 of the top 10 rushing attacks in the NFL are .500 or below. This includes the Tennessee Titans who are currently 2nd in the league in rushing and are 1-6. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts, San Diego Chargers and Arizona Cardinals rank 30-32 in rushing but are a combined 15-6.

Passing Rank is a very very very different beast. Of the teams ranked 1-18 in passing attack just one team is below .500. That team is the 2-5 Seattle Seahawks who have combined their 15th ranked passing attack with the 29th ranked rushing attack. The teams ranked 19-32 are all under .500 except for the New York Jets who rank 1st in rushing attack.

Sometimes all you need is the simplest data to tell you whats going on the NFL. The NFL is a passing game. It's no longer a play defense and grind out the ball on the ground. You need to put up yardage quick and you need a solid Quarterback to get it done. If you don't have one, you might as well prep for your early draft pick.

Comments

Hart said…
Good article.

Popular posts from this blog

M E T S = Mercifully End The Season

Do it before David Wright gets Hurt!

Numbers On Steroids: Mickey Mantle

Numbers on Steroids is a look at baseball players during the 90s to see if anything screams out at you. This week it's throwing a curve ball and looking at All Time Great Yankees. Players that we know did not take steroids to see if this gives a defense to any of the players 'convicted' by Numbers on Steroids. Time to look at my dad's favorite athlete of all time, Mickey Mantle. Averages Say: What's with the mysterious dip at 27 and then the uptick? At Bats Per Home Run Says: That's a mighty jump from 22 to 24 Explaining As If It Was the 90s If you take a look at the numbers there are two time frames which in the 1990s would be questioned. First would be the incredible leap he took from his first year in the big leagues to his first MVP season in 1956. His batting average jumped 50 points. His slugging percentage jumped 90 points and he hit 15 more homers than his previous high. This wouldn't merrit a conviction nowadays though because the young age he...

This Is Why the New York Mets Can't Win Anymore

It's pretty simple why the Mets can't win games anymore and are morphing into the second worst team in the National League, they can't score runs. The below chart shows exactly whats happenned to their offensive output since each of the major devastating injuries. The blue line shows runs scored for each game through out the season. The pink line shows the average runs the Mets scored when they had everyone, the yellow when they were missing Delgado, the light blue when they were missing Delgado and Reyes, and finally the purple when they were missing Delgado, Reyes and Beltran. In the abscence of Reyes, Delgado and Beltran the Mets are averaging barely over 3 runs per game. In stark contrast, with everyone on the roster the Mets were scoring just over 5 runs per game. That's a wholesale difference and why their roster now equals a lot of losses and a day by day progression further out of a playoff spot.