It's February, so I'm Trying to Find things to Post On. Therefore You're Going to Get Some Simple Regression Tests from the 2008 MLB Season.
The Major High Outlier: Texas with an ERA of 5.37 an 79 Wins
The Low Outlier: Toronto with an ERA 3.49 and 86 Wins
Formula: ERA = 6.5246 + (-0.02728) * Wins
ReFangled Formula: Wins = (ERA - 6.5246) / (-0.02728)
So let's have some fun. Say I want the Yankees to win 100 games next year? Based on last years regression test I expect that they'll need somewhere around a team ERA of 3.8. Meanwhile if I think the Oreos are going to have an ERA close to 5.20, because their starters are miserable, than based on last years stats I can expect them to win about 48 games.
The Major High Outlier: Texas with an ERA of 5.37 an 79 Wins
The Low Outlier: Toronto with an ERA 3.49 and 86 Wins
Formula: ERA = 6.5246 + (-0.02728) * Wins
ReFangled Formula: Wins = (ERA - 6.5246) / (-0.02728)
So let's have some fun. Say I want the Yankees to win 100 games next year? Based on last years regression test I expect that they'll need somewhere around a team ERA of 3.8. Meanwhile if I think the Oreos are going to have an ERA close to 5.20, because their starters are miserable, than based on last years stats I can expect them to win about 48 games.
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