NFL Week 1 Spread Picks

Week 1 is apparently favorites week as I love a bunch of favorites and overall like the favorites a ton more than the Dogs.

5. Detroit Lions -2.5 at Atlanta Falcons

Rookie QB in his first career game pretty much equals loss. The Lions could and should get off to a head start on what might compete as the worst division in football.

4. Denver Broncos -1.5 at Oakland Raiders

The Broncos won't be down for more than a season and will return to playoff contention this year. This means easily dispatching the Raiders week 1.

3. New Orleans Saints -3.5 vs. Tampa Bay Bucs

I picked the Saints to go 14-2 (Man I'm stupid), so if they can't beat the Bucs by 3.5 at home the first week of the season than I'm gonna be dead wrong.

2. New York Jets -2.5 at Miami Dolphins

This is with my heart as much as with my head. The Jets need to win this week if they want to make the playoffs, else they may fall into an 0-3 hole and be done with. 2.5 points is nothing and the Jets should win comfortably by a touchdown.

1. New England Patriots -16.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Ha Ha Ha Tom Brady is injured. That's as believable as Belichick not trying to cheat to win. The Chiefs suck, the Pats will want to get off to a strong start and at home they will absolutely mall Herm and his crew.

Comments

M E T S = Mercifully End The Season

Do it before David Wright gets Hurt!

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Numbers On Steroids: Mickey Mantle

Numbers on Steroids is a look at baseball players during the 90s to see if anything screams out at you. This week it's throwing a curve ball and looking at All Time Great Yankees. Players that we know did not take steroids to see if this gives a defense to any of the players 'convicted' by Numbers on Steroids. Time to look at my dad's favorite athlete of all time, Mickey Mantle. Averages Say: What's with the mysterious dip at 27 and then the uptick? At Bats Per Home Run Says: That's a mighty jump from 22 to 24 Explaining As If It Was the 90s If you take a look at the numbers there are two time frames which in the 1990s would be questioned. First would be the incredible leap he took from his first year in the big leagues to his first MVP season in 1956. His batting average jumped 50 points. His slugging percentage jumped 90 points and he hit 15 more homers than his previous high. This wouldn't merrit a conviction nowadays though because the young age he...

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This Is Why the New York Mets Can't Win Anymore

It's pretty simple why the Mets can't win games anymore and are morphing into the second worst team in the National League, they can't score runs. The below chart shows exactly whats happenned to their offensive output since each of the major devastating injuries. The blue line shows runs scored for each game through out the season. The pink line shows the average runs the Mets scored when they had everyone, the yellow when they were missing Delgado, the light blue when they were missing Delgado and Reyes, and finally the purple when they were missing Delgado, Reyes and Beltran. In the abscence of Reyes, Delgado and Beltran the Mets are averaging barely over 3 runs per game. In stark contrast, with everyone on the roster the Mets were scoring just over 5 runs per game. That's a wholesale difference and why their roster now equals a lot of losses and a day by day progression further out of a playoff spot.

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