Thursday, October 29, 2009
The Degrees of Loss Separation is a simple concept, I go out and find a highly rated team with some losses playing against a crappy team with lots of losses. Next I find a chain of losses which proves beyond a shadow of a doubt (not at all) that the underdog is going to pull the major upset and storm the field. The Final Outcome is calculated simply: Add up the scores of the losers, add up the scores of the winners in the degrees of loss separation and divide both by the # of degrees.
The Game: Southern California Trojans vs. Oregon Ducks
With 5 games left in the season this game might as well be for the Pac 10 championship. The two teams are currently 1&2 in the Pac 10 and given that USC doesn't typically lose more than 1 game in a season, it's likely that if they beat Oregon they will run the table. Meanwhile an Oregon win puts them two games clear of the Trojans with just 4 to play and with only 3-1 Arizona standing in their way, an Arizona team that still has to host Oregon as well as play at Cal and at USC.
2º of Loss Separation : Oregon > Washington > USC
Washington shocked the Pac 10 world when they managed to knock off the Barkley-less Trojans in Seattle 16-13. Last weekend the Ducks completed the quickest possible Degrees by crushing the Huskies 43-19 in Seattle.
Final Outcome: Oregon 25 USC 16
The mighty Ducks work it on the ground and fluster Barkley and party like its 2007 with a 9 point victory over the Trojans.