Wednesday, October 08, 2008
The Degrees of Loss Separation is a simple concept, I go out and find a highly rated team with some losses playing against a crappy team with lots of losses. Next I find a chain of losses which proves beyond a shadow of a doubt (not at all) that the underdog is going to pull the major upset and storm the field. The Final Outcome is calculated simply: Add up the scores of the losers, add up the scores of the winners in the degrees of loss separation and divide both by the # of degrees.
The Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
So I'm not picking a crappy team vs. a really good team for the first weekend of the 2008 version of the Degrees of Loss Separation, but I wanted to get it off to a good start this season by predicting a Notre Dame Loss. Both teams have 1 loss. The Tarheels moved into the rankings and the Notre Dame fans are whining that they aren't included. This weekend the Tarheels host Notre Dame on National TV after throttling ranked UConn last week.
6º of Loss Separation : North Carolina beat Uconn beat Virginia beat Maryland beat Cal beat Michigan St. beat Notre Dame
The degrees starts off with the thumping of Notre Dame at the hand of the Spartans. The same Spartans were fought off by the Bears week one of the season who were than shocked by the Terps the following week. The Terps then caught fire until they lost to miserable UVA 31-0 nothing after being a 14 point favorite. This same UVA team got embarrassed at UConn who was equally embarrassed in Chapel Hill last weekend.
Final Outcome: North Carolina 35 Notre Dame 15
In those Degrees there have been 2 close games and 4 absolute blowouts which means the degrees says another blowout. And who would be surprised if Butch's boys roll up 30 on a mediocre Notre Dame squad while pounding and frustrating weirdo Clausen.